954items, 2 agreed and 2 split
155bills and laws
307legislative speech
492media
1
NVIDIA A100 80 GB · llama.cpp · Q8_0
15 min · 1.1/s · 954 items
leads this tier having placed 6th on Easy · answers outside all four human codes on only 14.6%, second only to DeepSeek with its reasoning on, and matched a dissenter on a further 39.4% · 0 unparseable
2
Shared managed inference API · 4 concurrent workers
4.3 min · 3.7/s · 954 items
same kappa as the leader on a slightly lower plurality rate · 38.8% matched a dissenter, 15.8% off-panel · 0 unparseable
3
2 × NVIDIA H100 80 GB · llama.cpp · UD-Q4_K_XL
46 min · 0.3/s · 954 items
3rd here with reasoning on · 39.4% matched a dissenter, 15.5% off-panel · 0 unparseable
4
8 × NVIDIA H100 80 GB · llama.cpp · UD-Q4_K_XL
55 min · 0.3/s · 954 items
11.1 points above its own thinking-off row · 38.7% matched a dissenter, 16.5% off-panel · 0 unparseable
5
NVIDIA A100 40 GB · llama.cpp · Q5_K_M
23.3 min · 0.7/s · 954 items
0.7 points from the managed run of the same weights — across all three tiers the pair never separates by more than that · 39.6% matched a dissenter, 15.7% off-panel
6
NVIDIA A100 40 GB · fine-tuned XLM-R classifier
14 s · 68/s · 954 items
wins both easier tiers and places 6th here · it has the highest dissenter-match of the leading group at 40.7% and the lowest off-panel rate of any classifier at 15.3%, so it is not answering badly — the fine-tuning simply does not extend its edge to contested items · 60× faster than anything near it
7
4 × NVIDIA H100 80 GB · llama.cpp · UD-Q4_K_XL
42 min · 0.4/s · 954 items
5.9 points above its own thinking-off row · 40.4% matched a dissenter, 16.1% off-panel · 0 unparseable
8
3 × NVIDIA H100 80 GB · llama.cpp · UD-Q4_K_XL
12 min · 1.3/s · 954 items
13.9% off-panel, the lowest of any entrant, and 42.6% matched a dissenter — with its reasoning on, the model that answered outside the human panel on a third of items answers inside it more often than anyone · 0 unparseable
9
2 × NVIDIA H100 80 GB · llama.cpp · UD-Q4_K_XL
31 min · 0.5/s · 954 items
41.9% matched a dissenter, 16.0% off-panel · 0 unparseable · 3.1 points below its own reasoning row
10
NVIDIA A100 40 GB · llama.cpp · Q4_K_XL
6.3 min · 2.5/s · 954 items
off-panel on 20.2%, five points wider than its 31B sibling — the two Gemma sizes separate further here than on either easier tier
11
Shared managed inference API · 4 concurrent workers
7.7 min · 2.1/s · 954 items
matched a dissenting coder on 41.3%, fourth-highest on the board — when it misses the plurality it lands on a human reading more often than models placed above it · 15 unparseable, scored wrong
12
NVIDIA H100 80 GB · llama.cpp · MXFP4
4.2 min · 3.8/s · 954 items
exactly the plurality rate of the managed run of the same weights, ranked below it on kappa (0.375 against 0.378) · 41.5% matched a dissenter, third-highest on the board, 16.8% off-panel · 0 unparseable
13
8 × NVIDIA H100 80 GB · llama.cpp · UD-Q4_K_XL
16 min · 1.0/s · 954 items
2.6 points above its own reasoning row · 38.9% matched a dissenter, 19.7% off-panel · 0 unparseable
14
16-core CPU, no GPU
12.1 min · 1.3/s · 954 items
the second fine-tuned classifier, and it falls four places from Easy · tied with gpt-oss-20b on plurality to the item, separated only on kappa · 22.7% off-panel
15
NVIDIA A100 40 GB · llama.cpp · MXFP4
13.9 min · 1.1/s · 954 items
beat its 120B sibling on Easy and loses to it on both harder tiers · exactly tied with ParlaCAP at 382 of 954, ranked below it on kappa · 10 unparseable
16
8 × NVIDIA H100 80 GB · llama.cpp · UD-Q4_K_XL
62 min · 0.3/s · 954 items
2.6 points below its own thinking-off row — the one model whose reasoning row falls behind on this tier · 40.6% matched a dissenter, 20.6% off-panel · 9 unparseable, scored wrong
17
Anthropic Messages API · 8 concurrent requests · thinking disabled
2.6 min · 6.0/s · 954 items
41.2% matched a dissenter, 20.5% off-panel · 0 unparseable · 17th of 23 on every tier
18
4 × NVIDIA H100 80 GB · llama.cpp · UD-Q4_K_XL
21 min · 0.7/s · 954 items
36.0% matched a dissenter, 26.4% off-panel — a quarter of its answers are a code no human coder chose · 0 unparseable
19
8 × NVIDIA H100 80 GB · llama.cpp · UD-Q4_K_XL
16 min · 1.0/s · 954 items
36.5% matched a dissenter, 27.6% off-panel · 3 unparseable
20
NVIDIA H100 80 GB · llama.cpp · MXFP4
— · — · 954 items
38.6% matched a dissenter, 26.3% off-panel — ten points wider than the same weights at low effort · 0 unparseable
21
8 × NVIDIA H100 80 GB · llama.cpp · UD-Q4_K_XL
15 min · 1.0/s · 954 items
38.2% matched a dissenter, 28.1% off-panel · 0 unparseable
22
NVIDIA A100 40 GB · llama.cpp · Q6_K_XL
3.3 min · 4.8/s · 954 items
second-last on both harder tiers and third-last on Easy, and the gap widens as the items harden · 30.3% of its answers are a code no human coder chose — double the leaders — so here the deficit really is error, not defensible disagreement · 0 unparseable
23
3 × NVIDIA H100 80 GB · llama.cpp · UD-Q4_K_XL
6.3 min · 2.5/s · 954 items
last on all three tiers · 33.0% of its answers are a code no human coder chose, the widest off-panel rate on the board · 38.6% matched a dissenter · 0 unparseable
Because a majority does not exist, each row also reports two figures the other tiers do not need: how often the model matched one of the two dissenting coders, and how often it answered outside all four human codes. That second number is the one worth watching — it separates a model picking a defensible human reading from one that is simply wrong. Twenty-three runs are scored; nothing is still queued. The tier sizes shown for Intermediate (2,245) and Difficult (954) predate the final exclusion rules; the manuscript uses 2,232 and 942, and these two tiers will be re-scored on that basis. Two results carry beyond this page. First, the fine-tuned classifiers do not hold up: poltextlab-english-cap-v5 wins Easy and Intermediate and places 6th here, and ParlaCAP falls from 10th to 14th, while general models climb — Qwen3.8-27B goes 6th, 2nd, 1st across the three tiers. Task-specific fine-tuning buys agreement with consensus, not with contested judgement. Second, most of what looks like failure is not: for the leading models, roughly five in six answers are a code some human coder chose. The exceptions are the bottom of the board, where GLM-4.7-Flash answers outside the human panel on 30.3% and DeepSeek-V4-Flash, run with its reasoning switched off, on 33.0% — twice the leaders — which is the honest way to tell error apart from disagreement. The split concentrates at the no-policy-content boundary: it is the plurality label on 200 items, but on 372 it is a dissenter who called an item no-policy.